摘要： 鱼雷武器系统3级维修中，基地级维修费用最高。为了合理利用资金，需预测基地级维修时间。根据模糊理论的思想，提出了灰色GM(1,1)模型的拓广形式——灰色AGM(1,1,ω)模型，并用层次分析法来确定最优加权因子，结合实例建立了鱼雷武器系统基地级维修时间预测模型。结果表明，这种方法能达到令人满意的精度，具有实用价值。

关键词: 鱼雷武器系统, 基地级维修时间, 模糊灰色AGM(1,1,ω)模型, 层次分析法

Abstract: The maintenance cost of base level for torpedo weapon system is the highest in the three levels maintenance costs. The maintenance time of base level should be forecasted to use money in reason. Based on the thought of fuzzy theory, the AGM(1,1,ω) model is brought forward, which is developed form of grey GM(1,1) model. At the same time, AHP method is used in confirming the best weight value of the AGM(1,1,ω) model. As an example, a model of base level maintenance time model for torpedo weapon system is set up. Result indicates that this method can achieve satisfactory precision, and has practical value.

Key words: Torpedo weapon system, Base level maintenance time, Fuzzy grey AGM(1,1,ω) model, Analytic hierarchy process

中图分类号: 

• TP18

• TP273+.4