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计算机工程 ›› 2011, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (3): 172-174. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3428.2011.03.061

• 人工智能及识别技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

新型Elman混沌神经网络的流量预测

党小超1a,郝占军1b,2,门 健3   

  1. (1. 西北师范大学 a. 网络教育学院;b. 数学与信息科学学院,兰州 730070; 2. 西京学院工程技术系,西安 710123;3. 空军工程大学电讯工程学院,西安 710077)
  • 出版日期:2011-02-05 发布日期:2011-01-28
  • 作者简介:党小超(1963-),男,教授,主研方向:网络管理,流量模型,流量行为分析;郝占军,讲师、硕士研究生;门 健,讲师、硕士
  • 基金资助:
    甘肃省科技支撑计划基金资助项目“电子政务中的网络行为监控预警管理系统”(090GKCA075)

Traffic Prediction of New Chaotic Elman Neural Network

DANG Xiao-chao  1a, HAO Zhan-jun  1b,2 , MEN Jian 3   

  1. (1a. College of Network Education; 1b. College of Mathematics & Information Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China; 2. Department of Engineering Technology, Xijing University, Xi’an 710123, China; 3. Telecommunication Engineering Institute, Air Force Engineering University, Xi’an 710077, China)
  • Online:2011-02-05 Published:2011-01-28

摘要: 根据实际网络中测量得到的网络流量数据,提出一种改进型Elman神经网络模型——季节性输入多层反馈Elman网络。在网络权值的训练过程中引入混沌搜索机制,利用Tent映射的遍历性进行混沌变量的优化搜索,以减少数据冗余,解决局部收敛问题。实验结果表明,该模型及其算法有效提高了网络的训练速度及网络流量的预测精度。

关键词: 改进型Elman神经网络, 网络流量, 混沌搜索, 网络流量预测, Tent映射

Abstract: According to a large amount of network traffic data collected from the actual network, this paper proposes a new modified Elman neural network named Seasonal Input Multilayer Feedback Elman(SIMF Elman). Chaos searching is introduced into model training and uses the ergodicity of the Tent map to search the chaotic variables. Thus the data redundancy is reduced and local optimum problem is solved. Experimental results show that new model and strategy can improve the network training speed and forecast accuracy of network traffic.

Key words: modified Elman neural network, network traffic, chaos search, network traffic prediction, Tent map

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