摘要： 该文所提出的基于统计特性估算总线串扰概率的方法与以往基于数据流的方法相比，具有更短的运行时间，且精度相当，可以更有效地为综合工具采取相应避免措施提供参考依据。

关键词: 串扰；概率；期望；方差；滞1 时间相关系数；ARMA 模型

Abstract: This paper proposes a new technique based on statistical parameters to compute the probability of crosstalk events. Comparing with traditional technique such as stream-based estimator, it has much shorter execution time and comparative accuracy. This method can provide evaluated standard for synthesis tools to avoid crosstalk efficiently

Key words: Crosstalk; Probability; Mean; Deviation; Lag-1 temporal correlation; ARMA model