摘要： 根据灰色系统理论，为城市灾害行为提供科学可靠分析，进行灾害预测，是有效的城市防灾及减灾对策的科学依据。此系统基于地理信息系统（GIS），做到了良好的动态图形界面和人机对话环境，为政府部门、消防、房管、保险公司提供了科学防灾数据，对预防和减轻灾害有着巨大的社会和经济效益。

关键词: 灾害, 灰色系统理论, 预测, 损失, 地理信息系统

Abstract: This system bases on the theory of Grey System. It can provide reliable and scientific analysis for urban disaster, and it also can provide disaster prediction. Therefore, it is an effective advisor to preclude and minimize urban-disaster. The system is based on geographical information system (GIS). and has a very good dynamic picture interface and environment. It will provide scientific date for the government offices. fire offices. house companies and security companies, so it has great social and economic benefit for anticipating and declining the fire losses.

中图分类号: 

• P208