摘要： 根据故障预测的特点和要求,指出传统模糊综合评判方法的不足,提出了动态模糊综合评判方法,给出了动态权重矩阵和动态模糊关系矩阵的确定方法。并与规则推理相结合,以反后座装置为例对评判过程予以说明,证明了该方法的有效性和实用性。

关键词: 故障预测, 模糊综合评判, 隶属函数, 规则

Abstract: Considering the characteristics and requirements of fault forecast, the deficiencies of traditional fuzzy comprehensive evaluationmethod is pointed out. A dynamic fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is proposed. And detailed confirmation methods of dynamic weightcoefficient matrix and fuzzy relationship matrix are given. Rule-based reasoning is adopted as a complementary method. The validation andpracticability are proved by the basic evaluation steps in an example of recoil system.

中图分类号: 

• TP18