Abstract: The paper brings forward that it is crucial for group that has knowledge inside many domains to make decision more reliably than single decision-maker. The author makes quantitative analysis of the semi-structural decision problem. Combining with the example of confirming of affecting factors and their weights in the procedure of the adjusting of industrial structure in agriculture, a practicable policy of group decision-making is described, which provide strong foundation for.

摘要： 为克服个体决策者知识的不完备性，该文提出利用多领域的专家知识实现决策，并结合Delphi法和AHP法对半结构化的决策问题进行定量分析。结合农业产业结构调整中影响因子及其权重的确定实例给出了群体决策的实现策略。

关键词: 决策, Delphi法, AHP法

CLC Number: 

• TP311.52