摘要： 在分析了模糊支持向量回归的基础上，给出了一种基于时间序列分析的模糊支持向量回归方法TS-FSVR，并通过粒子群优化方法对模型中的参数进行了优化。并将该方法成功地应用到城市旅游环境承载力的评估系统中，取得了较好的实验结果。

关键词: 时间序列, 支持向量回归, 模糊成员, 粒子群优化

Abstract: This paper analyses fuzzy support vector regression, presents a new fuzzy support vector regression method based on time series analysis (TS-FSVR), and optimizes parameters of model by particle swarm optimization (PSO). This method is successfully used to the evaluation system of tour-environment carrying capacity. The experimental results show the method is feasible.

Key words: time series, support vector regression, fuzzy membership, particle swarm optimization

中图分类号: 

• TP391